Sunday, May 17, 2009

Technology Trends and Gartner's Hype Cycle


I found this diagram of Gartner's hype cycle in a blog entry about cloud computing and the Tech Crunch blog.
Essentially, industries, companies and people go through the 5 stages of: 1) heh, this is cool, 2) yeah, we all think this cool, 3) woah, we were sold down the river, 4) no, come to think of it, used in the right way, this can be good and finally 5) this has become part of what we do." (Source: Buzz Canuck)
Where are ePortfolios along this continuum? I think Higher Ed is generally in stages 2 and 3... what needs to help move into stages 4 and 5? In my opinion, K-12 is just entering the cycle. I found a couple of online publications by the New Media Centers Consortium that outline emerging technologies:
It is interesting to note that the NMC sees K-12 following higher education in some technologies that I think are going to have a big impact on ePortfolios: Cloud Computing and The Personal Web. It is encouraging that Collaborative Environments and Online Communication Tools are imminent adoptions in K-12 (already adopted in higher education), and I believe both of these technologies are essential to an ePortfolio 2.0 environment.

1 comment:

mark.raskino said...

The 2009 version of this Gartner Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle will be published later this month.
It is one of over 60 Hype Cycle reports we publish annually for our clients including an education technologies cycle.
You may be interested to know we have now published a book about the Hype Cycle and how to apply it in your work. www.gartner.com/hypecycle